S10_ Evaluations of, for, and in Transitions

S12_ From principles to practice: a shared framework for responsive evaluation

S10_ Evaluations of, for, and in Transitions

S12_ From principles to practice: a shared framework for responsive evaluation

S11_ From instruments to systems: Evaluating the private sector’s increasing role in development, climate and market transformation

José Carbajo, Miriam Amine
Rationale and Objectives
In a context of declining official development aid and expanding expectations for private capital to deliver development and climate outcomes, private sector actors, corporate sustainability practices, and market based instruments play an increasingly leading role in shaping public value. Development and climate finance institutions now rely extensively on blended finance, guarantees, funds, and advisory instruments to mobilise private investment, manage risk, and catalyse market transformation. At the same time, corporate ESG commitments, impact frameworks, and non-financial support services are growing, often working through private governance systems and proprietary data. While these trends promise scale and innovation, they also raise fundamental questions for evaluation in vibrant democracies around transparency, accountability, equity, and learning when public objectives are pursed through complex public-private arrangements.

This strand addresses these challenges by positioning evaluation as a critical instrument for systemic learning and democratic accountability in increasingly private sector-driven development and climate finance. Led by EES Thematic Working Group 3 (TWG3), the strand aims at advancing evaluation approaches that move beyond project level accountability and descriptive portfolio reviews towards credible assessment of systemic effects, organisational change, and long-term market transformation. It focuses on three interrelated domains: development, finance instruments, and private capital mobilisation; corporate sustainability, ESG, and impact accountability; and market systems, systemic change, and just transitions.

Across these areas, the strand looks to a strengthening evaluation practice, theory, and use by addressing persistent challenges related to additionality, attribution versus contribution, long time horizons, confidentiality, and distributional impacts. By doing so, it aims at repositioning evaluation not only as an exposed accountability mechanism, but as a decision-relevant learning tool that informs institutional strategy, policy dialogue, and public debate, thereby contributing to trust and legitimacy at the public-private interface.
Strand Overview
The strand is organized around three interconnected sessions.

The first session, ‘From Deals to Systems: Evaluating Private Capital Mobilisation and Risk-Taking Instruments’, examines, how evaluation can assess whether blended finance, guarantees, funds, and other risk sharing instruments, genuinely mobilize, private capital and contribute to market transformation. It explores approaches to assessing financial and non-financial additionality, contribution versus attribution, and demonstration effects, emphasizing portfolio- and market-level analysis that integrates financial evidence with qualitative investor perspectives.

The second session ‘From Reporting to Learning: Evaluating ESG and Non-Financial Support Services and the Value Add of Impact Frameworks’, shifts attention to organisational practices and governance systems that shape behavior within financial markets. It examines, how evaluation can engage critically with ESG ratings, impact framework, and technical cooperation as strategic levers of change, comparing proprietary measurement tools with evaluative standards of rigor, causality, and learning. The session addresses challenges related to attribution, long-term horizons, confidentiality, and private governance, and explores suitable evaluation approaches (ranging from theory-based and qualitative methods to emerging AI-supported and foresight techniques) that reposition evaluation as a value-adding input to corporate strategy, risk management, and transition finance rather than a narrow compliance function.

The third session ’Evaluating Market Systems and Just Transitions: Equity, Trade-offs, and Organisational Change’, broadens the perspective to system-level transformation. It focuses on evaluating market systems development, financial inclusion, and climate finance strategies in a context where private capital is expected to play a growing role amid shrinking ODA. The session explores how evaluation can identify trade-offs between efficiency, scale, and equity, assess distribution impact, and examines whether organisations meaningfully integrate just-transition principles to strategies, governance, and decision making processes. Together, the three sessions provide a structured exploration of systemic learning, showing how evaluation can inform strategic decision-making and democratic accountability in vibrant democracies.

The forth session ‘Evaluating results and impact of crisis response packages aimed at supporting economic development and private sector resilience in conflict and fragile countries‘ will focus on evolving approaches to defining what constitutes success, results and additionality in situations of conflict and fragility. It will present examples from recent or ongoing evaluations of interventions aimed at building resilience of economic systems, enhancing standards of economic governance and institutions, and strengthening the resilience of the private sector. Participants: EBRD (lead), WBG, EIB, FCDO

This strand addresses these challenges by positioning evaluation as a critical instrument for systemic learning and democratic accountability in increasingly private sector-driven development and climate finance. Led by EES Thematic Working Group 3 (TWG3), the strand aims at advancing evaluation approaches that move beyond project level accountability and descriptive portfolio reviews towards credible assessment of systemic effects, organisational change, and long-term market transformation. It focuses on three interrelated domains: development, finance instruments, and private capital mobilisation; corporate sustainability, ESG, and impact accountability; and market systems, systemic change, and just transitions.

Across these areas, the strand looks to a strengthening evaluation practice, theory, and use by addressing persistent challenges related to additionality, attribution versus contribution, long time horizons, confidentiality, and distributional impacts. By doing so, it aims at repositioning evaluation not only as an exposed accountability mechanism, but as a decision-relevant learning tool that informs institutional strategy, policy dialogue, and public debate, thereby contributing to trust and legitimacy at the public-private interface.

Together, the three sessions provide a structured exploration of systemic learning, showing how evaluation can inform strategic decision-making and democratic accountability in vibrant democracies.
Taraneh Sayadi

David joined the European Commission in 1995 and the Joint Research Centre (the Commission's science and knowledge service) in 2011.

He is currently Head of Unit responsible for the JRC’s work on democracy, public governance and public administration ("JRC.S.2 Science for Democracy, Public Governance and Administration").

Evidence-Informed Policy Making

Community of Practice on Democracy (CoP Demos)

Organisational Transformation

Between 2011 and 2016 he was Head of Unit responsible for the JRC work programme, science advice to policy and foresight. From April 2015 to December 2015 he was Acting Director.

From 1998 to 2011 he worked in DG Health and Consumers on consumer policy strategy, regulatory enforcement and research, data and statistics, as Head of Unit between 2007 to 2011 for consumer market monitoring and analysis, Consumer Markets Scoreboard and work on consumer behaviour. Before that he worked for DG Taxation, the UK Treasury, UBS and the British Army. He studied History at Cambridge University.

Mhairi Aitken

Dr Mhairi Aitken is an internationally recognised expert in AI ethics and responsible innovation, with a focus on participatory research and inclusive practice. She leads groundbreaking research on child-centred AI, and in 2025 she organised the world’s first Children’s AI Summit.

Mhairi is a Co-Founder and Director of Our AI Collective and a Visiting Senior Lecturer at the Digital Environment Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London. Previously, between 2020 and 2026 Mhairi was Senior Ethics Fellow at The Alan Turing Institute (the UK’s national institute for AI and data science), where she led a groundbreaking programme of research on Children and AI and worked across a range of topics including public voices in AI, data justice, ethics of Generative AI and emerging AI policy and regulation. Mhairi co-developed the Human Rights, Democracy and the Rule of Law Impact Assessment (HUDERIA) tool that was formally adopted by the Council of Europe in 2024.

Mhairi is passionate about public engagement with AI, including through performing shows about her research at festivals and in stand-up comedy clubs, she is a frequent contributor to media discussions around AI and data, and was included in the international list of “100 Brilliant Women in AI Ethics”

David Mair

David joined the European Commission in 1995 and the Joint Research Centre (the Commission's science and knowledge service) in 2011.

He is currently Head of Unit responsible for the JRC’s work on democracy, public governance and public administration ("JRC.S.2 Science for Democracy, Public Governance and Administration").

Evidence-Informed Policy Making

Community of Practice on Democracy (CoP Demos)

Organisational Transformation

Between 2011 and 2016 he was Head of Unit responsible for the JRC work programme, science advice to policy and foresight. From April 2015 to December 2015 he was Acting Director.

From 1998 to 2011 he worked in DG Health and Consumers on consumer policy strategy, regulatory enforcement and research, data and statistics, as Head of Unit between 2007 to 2011 for consumer market monitoring and analysis, Consumer Markets Scoreboard and work on consumer behaviour. Before that he worked for DG Taxation, the UK Treasury, UBS and the British Army. He studied History at Cambridge University.

Elena Korosteleva

Elena Korosteleva is Professor of International Politics and Director of the Institute for Global Sustainable Development (IGSD) at the University of Warwick. In 2024 Elena was appointed Chair for the Sustainability Spotlight, Warwick-wide interdisciplinary research network to address sustainability challenges collectively, and was elected to serve on the Scientific Council for COP29. Elena is also a Visiting Professor at the University of Oxford, and Jean Monnet Chair, which she was awarded twice by the European Commission in recognition of her research and teaching excellence.

Professor Korosteleva's research is situated at the innovative intersection of Complex IR, Politics and Governance Studies with a focus on resilience and democracy. Her GCRF UKRI COMPASS+ (2017–23, PI, £4+ million) project received higher commendation for the Best International Collaboration of 2021 by the Times Higher Education (THE) Awards, despite the COVID-19 challenges. In 2026 Elena received a research award from the University of Warwick for her research culture leadership. Elena is a founder of four cross-disciplinary research centres on European, Eurasian and Global Studies, including the award-winning ECR Sustainability Training School at Warwick. Elena works closely with His Majesty's Government (particularly the FCDO), Parliament, EU institutions and regional and national governments. She is the author of over 100 publications, including her Oxford University Press single-authored book Complexity and Community in IR: Nurturing Resilience in Central Eurasia (2025, Open Access).

Elena Korosteleva also contributed her paper "Democracy Support in an Age of Complexity: A Central Asian Perspective", as part of the forum Global Perspectives on Democracy Support in Light of the Wars in Gaza and Ukraine (May 2025), published in International Studies Perspectives.